Hey i understand Alcaraz's game against Fritz more than i understand what any of the company in my portfolio does day to day or their balance sheets. Eg, what's Microsoft doing now? Is it better or worse than yesterday? Is it making the right amount of money to beat the random expectations by analysts this quarter??
Difference is casino house has a consistent edge that you can’t beat, even if u count cards they’ll ban you. But you can find an edge in 0DTE and profit if you are consistent
No offense, but you sound like you really have no idea what you’re doing. From what you’ve described about missing out on profits you “should” have made, it sounds like gambling. It’s impossible to predict the top so why assume you should have made those additional gains. However I could be wrong.. perhaps there’s more detail to your strategies and your mistakes are due to a lack of execution.
How are you choosing your set ups or plays? How are you deciding when to exit positions? Based on what you’ve wrote your taking profit strategy sounds random and based in emotions of the moment. If this is true, this style of trading will hurt you in the long run . Not here to beat you down, hopefully you give this some thought and it ultimately helps you improve.
Well it’s a refinery also the bot says this but I don’t know if it’s considering context
MPC (Marathon Petroleum) Earnings Summary
Stock vs. normal
∙ Current: ~$238
∙ 52-week range: $133–$255.77 — sitting at ~90% of range, ~7% off ATH
∙ +60% over past year
∙ Analyst avg PT: $249 (~5% upside) — recent raises (Morgan Stanley to $233 from $200)
∙ Dividend: $1.00 quarterly declared April 29 (~1.7% yield)
Last earnings (Q4 2025, Feb 3, 2026)
∙ Adj EPS: $4.07 vs $2.72-2.73 est — massive beat (+49.63%)
∙ vs. $0.77 prior-year quarter
∙ Adj EBITDA: ~$3.5B (Q4), ~$12B FY2025 — Q4 +$1.4B YoY
∙ FY2025 cash from ops: $8.3B; $4.5B returned to shareholders
∙ Driven by stronger refining margins + 4.9% YoY decline in costs
2026 guide (issued at Feb print)
∙ $700M refining capex (-20% from 2025)
∙ Continued capital discipline
∙ Reduced spend with high utilization
Q1 2026 setup (May 5 BMO)
∙ EPS estimate: $2.00 (different sources show $0.92 to $2.00 — wide spread suggests big uncertainty)
∙ Revenue estimate: $33.88B
∙ Crack spread tailwind: oil up ~70% since Feb 28 (US-Iran), refiners benefit from elevated margins
∙ Backdrop: WTI volatility, summer driving season setup
The fact that Elon Musk, the richest and most powerful person in the world is against google, is not a good omen for GOOG...
Puts on GOOG. They're not gonna be able to beat Elon's obsession with destroying google. Anything he's ever wanted to destroy gets destroyed. He is like a god at this point ...
no it isnt. he said they use delta hedged straddles to farm over paid prices on options. then tells people here to just buy shares to beat the market makers.
It has broke out but I think with the data center play it will continue to move up. Margins are improving and revenues being up 43 percent is significant. They have a 190 percent operating profit. The write off caused the 67 percent drop in net income which makes it look bad. I think institutions are buying but retail is missing the true story of their earnings and potential.
It reminds me of SanDisk when it started breaking out people who quickly looked at it claimed they were losing money. But they weren't it was a major write off of assets considered overvalued when it spun off from WDC. Everyone wants to quickly look at numbers without digging into the why. So maybe it has hit the high but had they not had a big write off this quarter they would have been profitable. I expect next quarter profits and a bigger beat.
Packed week. AMD and Palantir Tuesday, Uber Wednesday, Coinbase and Affirm Thursday — basically a stress test for every thesis simultaneously.
Most watching AMD to see if it can keep chipping away at NVDA's data center lead. Spoiler: probably not, but the guidance will matter more than the beat.