exactly. I'm investing based off expected value. Risk may be higher here - but incase it works out -- so too is payoff. That gives it a higher EV, which means it's a better bet. Just need to size it correctly relative to your portfolio / risk tolerances.
I shorted shares on my Schwab account. I hedged my shares shorted on schwab with $6 calls to release more margin to increase position size (schwab had like 300% margin requirements on this). They were around $2 so profit on the shares short didn't start until $3.3 ish
I analyze risk + expected value (ie: payoff matrix) and apply kelly functions to my investments so they're a lot more calculated than my shitposting looks.
I'll only invest if the expected value is positive. Then you just size it using handwaved kelly functions, and if your risk analysis is correct you print on average
Oh for sure it does. And most of them have appalling butrates. For movies I expect to watch one I’ll grab the reduced size (and usually 2.0 audio) version from yffy but If it’s something I love I’ll seek out a high bit rate Blu-ray rip or a 4k web (nflx/amz) rip