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Equitycompass Tactical Risk Manager ETF

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I mean it’s such a highly efficient market you aren’t getting alpha. Returns always come with risk and typically “good strategies” you see on this page come from unforeseen risk factors. Usually tail risk. If you want to have fun and gamble that’s one thing but seriously don’t expect to be able to see real consistent long term returns without 1000s of hours of expertise in a specific field. Again you are competing against the best of the best - you really think there would be easy money still on the table without huge incremental risk? If you want to learn or even just become more informed on the industry I’d listen to the Flirting with Models or Odds on Open podcasts. Pretty technical but excellent for learning.
>long-term contracts and obligations already signed How sure are we about this again? Like "Bear Sterns and Lehman are good", "Trump will keep his promises", or "All these .COM companies promised they'll use our hardware!"?
If I’m holding a position long enough to where I am losing a night of sleep it’s a long term capital gain
Opposite. We're saved thanks to OP. 1. Undefeated rules to making money: 1x Inverse WSB OP. **2x WSB OP on frontpage.** 3x WSB OP on frontpage at the top. 2. OP is on frontpage and bought *CALLS on TLT* w/ exp in mid-June. Which means they expect something bad to happen in the equities market, maybe sell in may go away, or the markets testing new fed chair Warsh. That's probably why they expect cut rates. Fed rate cuts to a market decline/crash will drive the 20yr yields down and TLT up. 3. Problem is OP is likely a retard and took too much risk in too short a time frame. The rich like Buffett/Dalio/Trump are loading up on short term bills/notes and gold rather than LT USTs. Also unlikely we get a downturn in May after we got one just earlier this year. Plus """market forces""" will likely want the market to keep going up either to stabilize PE/PC, win the AI race against China, prevent riots/revolution, so that they can unload a few TRILLION via the big 3 IPOs into retail 401K/IRAs via indexing coming later this year (SpaceX/Antropic/OpenAI), or you know Trump/GOP want to win the mid-terms. Who knows? All I know is that OP ain't thought about these things. So we're basically going to be good until at least mid-June. OP will probably lose on their trade. I know because I've been dip buying TMF since 2022-2024 as a hedge to my leveraged ETF positions only gotten get free tax loss harvesting at the end of each year. Thank you OP for your sacrifice.
Not a terrible play the warsh activation may cause a short run due to what he wants to make happen. My advice is if it jumps mid month on warsh sell half for a good profit and then maybe let the rest ride. I personally have played strangles on tlt every week for the last 7 weeks and only lost money one of those weeks. They have been getting harder though as premiums went up. We are at the low side of this loooong term range so in that respect it seems like an ok play but unless the new chair somehow convinces the others to vote for cuts i do see new lows happening
He doesn't gamble on the latest style. His clothing is a long term investment.
long-term investment
Yes. Options have existed for a very, very long time, well before 0 DTE existed, for starters, so prior to 2022, daily 0 DTE wasn’t possible. To more directly answer your question, and also disagreeing with the other regarded individual who replied to you: options can very much be profitable to retail. Simple, long-dated calls are one way to do it. For example, if you mechanically buy a 2-year SPY call whenever the market’s down more than 20% and hold to expiration, you’re likely to come out way ahead (past performance doesn’t guarantee future profit blah blah). The market is not often down 20%, so this isn’t a get-rich quick strategy, but it’s not unreasonable and has historically very good returns if you’re choosing a strike that isn’t absurdly OTM (say, if you pay for an at-the-money call). You can reduce the cost (and profit/risk) by using a long-dated spread instead (so for example buying the at-the-money and selling a call 10% above the current price at the same expiration). There’s also selling index puts - again, not a road to riches, but as a way to add a small amount of leverage during times of elevated volatility. The typical internet-approved version of this is to sell 15-30 delta, 45 DTE puts, but there are a ton of ways to do this profitably, and also plenty of ways to quickly blow up your account. If you’re selling options, you very much need to be keenly aware of the leverage you’re handling, and also how volatility changes both the options price and the margin requirement (you can get blown out of a short put due to changing margin requirements even when the trade remains profitable). The question you asked is really broad, something like “how do you build a house,” so I’m speaking in really broad terms with just two tiny examples in an ocean of possibilities. But the short answer is yes, you can very much be long-term profitable with options strategies. However, ultimately, options are just another tool. You really need a thesis on the underlying, and if that’s wrong, some complex options genius setup isn’t going to save you from being wrong. So don’t get too caught up in the options mechanics at the expense of understanding why the underlying is behaving the way it is. It’s the latter that will make you money; options just add to the toolbox and can, for example, make you money if the underlying doesn’t move (which isn’t possible with shares apart from whatever dividends you get).
Comparing retail trading to institutional options trading is like comparing taking an uber somewhere to winning f1. 100% gambling and peoples winning strategies basically always have huge gamma/tail risk and have gotten lucky so far. Institutional trading is the most autistic fuckers on the planet with every resource in the world and the best spreads in the world competing all day every day against each other there is genuinely no way to compete long term in a way worth your time.
Giving the term leveraged to the tits a whole new meaning
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