$rddt nice re-entry point after draw down today.

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"Hey this price looks interesting, let me bu-" -> "MARKET CONNECTION LOST....MARKET CONNECTION RE ESTABLISHED" -> price went up 20%. You know what, fuck you, Interactive Brokers.

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He never said they were gona announce re scheduling in a few weeks. He said they were gona make a decision and then said a few negative things about it lol.

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There's several factors. Trump wants rates cuts to re-finance US debt at lower rates, and he's campaign for it, so now part of the public wants it too. Job market data has been showing jobs generation slowing down, cutting rates would help companies get cheaper money, thus accelerating job growth. The public wants cuts to have better rates to buy real estate. But inflation is at around 3%, and cutting rates could push this up which is dangerous for the US economy.

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Maserati and a high end whoo re

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Yes it did. I bought AMC at $3-4 but I can’t tell what that was based on pre split. CVNA went 4-400 AMC peak was like 150B and back then 1T was a lot. Open at peak meme mania even going to 100B is well over $100 per share. But the news today isn’t a meme. Shopify COO becoming CEO and co-founders re-joining. Interest rate cuts on the menu. Perfect storm to get in before the real growth.

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LDI got some interesting volume going on the last few days, not to mention doubling up since the beginning of the month. Some mortgage lender. Man, all these RE/mortgage plays are going to get fucked if the Fed doesn't cut lol.

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# The $120 thesis in 7 moves **0) Sanity check the target.** At **$120/share** and \~**729–736M** shares out, OPEN = **\~$85–90B** market cap. That’s the bar we have to clear with fundamentals + narrative. [CompaniesMarketCap](https://companiesmarketcap.com/opendoor/shares-outstanding/?utm_source=chatgpt.com) **1) Macro door re-opens.** Mortgage rates just broke lower to **\~6.35%**, the biggest weekly drop in a year (Freddie Mac). When financing thawed in other cycles, **transactions** (not prices) recovered first. If existing-home sales grind up from \~**4.0M SAAR** toward **5.0M+**, you expand the pond OPEN fishes in—more would-be sellers, more inventory, more spreads, more fees. [Freddie Mac+1](https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms_archives?utm_source=chatgpt.com) **2) Founder/“product CEO” reboot = rerating fuel.** You just swapped in **Kaz Nejatian (ex-Shopify COO)** as CEO, with **Keith Rabois (chair)** and **Eric Wu** back, plus **$40M** insider cash (Wu + Khosla). That’s credibility + a clearly stated “**AI-powered real-estate platform**” mandate—exactly the kind of story the market will pay up for *if* execution follows. [GlobeNewswire+1](https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/09/10/3148276/0/en/Opendoor-Names-Kaz-Nejatian-as-CEO-Founders-Rabois-and-Wu-Rejoin-Board.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com)

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Happy for you guys. I paper handed when RS news hit, tried to time the re entry and didn't. No Ragrats, next time someone please take me by the hand to push the buy button.

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and I don't know what expiry means fully? I bought stock. Chat gpt is letting me fantasize about 120. # The $120 thesis in 7 moves **0) Sanity check the target.** At **$120/share** and \~**729–736M** shares out, OPEN = **\~$85–90B** market cap. That’s the bar we have to clear with fundamentals + narrative. [CompaniesMarketCap](https://companiesmarketcap.com/opendoor/shares-outstanding/?utm_source=chatgpt.com) **1) Macro door re-opens.** Mortgage rates just broke lower to **\~6.35%**, the biggest weekly drop in a year (Freddie Mac). When financing thawed in other cycles, **transactions** (not prices) recovered first. If existing-home sales grind up from \~**4.0M SAAR** toward **5.0M+**, you expand the pond OPEN fishes in—more would-be sellers, more inventory, more spreads, more fees. [Freddie Mac+1](https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms/pmms_archives?utm_source=chatgpt.com) **2) Founder/“product CEO” reboot = rerating fuel.** You just swapped in **Kaz Nejatian (ex-Shopify COO)** as CEO, with **Keith Rabois (chair)** and **Eric Wu** back, plus **$40M** insider cash (Wu + Khosla). That’s credibility + a clearly stated “**AI-powered real-estate platform**” mandate—exactly the kind of story the market will pay up for *if* execution follows. [GlobeNewswire+1](https://www.globenewswire.com/news-release/2025/09/10/3148276/0/en/Opendoor-Names-Kaz-Nejatian-as-CEO-Founders-Rabois-and-Wu-Rejoin-Board.html?utm_source=chatgpt.com) **3) The business mix shifts from steel to software.** OPEN’s own words: it’s evolving to “**serve many more sellers and capture capital-light revenue streams**” via agent-led distribution and marketplace-style options (think instant offer *plus* listing rails, referrals, and B2B buy-side pipes). That’s margin mix shifting from low-teens gross to **software/marketplace-like** take-rates on GMV. [Opendoor](https://www.opendoor.com/articles/2025-second-quarter-financial-results?utm_source=chatgpt.com)

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