Opposite. We're saved thanks to OP.
1. Undefeated rules to making money: 1x Inverse WSB OP. **2x WSB OP on frontpage.** 3x WSB OP on frontpage at the top.
2. OP is on frontpage and bought *CALLS on TLT* w/ exp in mid-June. Which means they expect something bad to happen in the equities market, maybe sell in may go away, or the markets testing new fed chair Warsh. That's probably why they expect cut rates. Fed rate cuts to a market decline/crash will drive the 20yr yields down and TLT up.
3. Problem is OP is likely a retard and took too much risk in too short a time frame. The rich like Buffett/Dalio/Trump are loading up on short term bills/notes and gold rather than LT USTs. Also unlikely we get a downturn in May after we got one just earlier this year. Plus """market forces""" will likely want the market to keep going up either to stabilize PE/PC, win the AI race against China, prevent riots/revolution, so that they can unload a few TRILLION via the big 3 IPOs into retail 401K/IRAs via indexing coming later this year (SpaceX/Antropic/OpenAI), or you know Trump/GOP want to win the mid-terms. Who knows? All I know is that OP ain't thought about these things.
So we're basically going to be good until at least mid-June. OP will probably lose on their trade. I know because I've been dip buying TMF since 2022-2024 as a hedge to my leveraged ETF positions only gotten get free tax loss harvesting at the end of each year.
Thank you OP for your sacrifice.
I'm ok with paying money to ensure I fly in a safe airplane with competent pilots and crew. I don't think aviation is a good industry to apply race to the bottom in.
#TLDR
---
**Ticker:** CAR
**Direction:** Up
**Prognosis:** Go long on shares/calls before the summer rental boom.
**Catalyst:** The float is razor-thin and the massive whale (Pentwater) ran out of shares they can legally dump without forfeiting their profits back to Avis due to SEC Section 16(b) rules. Plus, US World Cup = lots of car rentals.
**OP's Qualifications:** Self-proclaimed adrenaline-addicted "regard" who quit the rat race to run a hedge fund out of his basement.
All this insanity was caused by the ideologue economists in the 1990s who successfully convinced lawmakers that abandoning antitrust enforcement would lead to “consumer benefits” and “savings and synergies on a large scale.” They claimed that airline mergers and consolidation would “improve competition.” Once the merger race began, no small airline could survive on its own. Very soon, the US will end up with no more than three airlines monopolizing the entire market. Imagine that: the largest protected aviation market in the world, controlled by only three airlines.