I mean it’s such a highly efficient market you aren’t getting alpha. Returns always come with risk and typically “good strategies” you see on this page come from unforeseen risk factors. Usually tail risk. If you want to have fun and gamble that’s one thing but seriously don’t expect to be able to see real consistent long term returns without 1000s of hours of expertise in a specific field. Again you are competing against the best of the best - you really think there would be easy money still on the table without huge incremental risk? If you want to learn or even just become more informed on the industry I’d listen to the Flirting with Models or Odds on Open podcasts. Pretty technical but excellent for learning.

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As much sure as every big tech did in last 20 years. And not as one of those 3 exceptions out of 10000000s of actual contracts And you will pay for it through big tech companies, whether you like it or not

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It was absolutely mismanaged several leadership teams ago and necessary fixes were put into motion in 2021 that are coming online now. None of that changes that they are one of a few in such an important industry. Even if the US government had to funnel billions of dollars a year to keep the Intel fabs afloat and moving forward it would be insane not too. Intel doesn’t even had to be as good as TSMC it just has to outlast them.

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You can be sure that the one losing is usually some other regard from WSB.

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Buying calls on Tlt with dividends every month has got to be one of the dumbest things I have ever seen. I already know you aren’t gonna exercise before dividend and just gonna lose money

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Nice one bro

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Opposite. We're saved thanks to OP. 1. Undefeated rules to making money: 1x Inverse WSB OP. **2x WSB OP on frontpage.** 3x WSB OP on frontpage at the top. 2. OP is on frontpage and bought *CALLS on TLT* w/ exp in mid-June. Which means they expect something bad to happen in the equities market, maybe sell in may go away, or the markets testing new fed chair Warsh. That's probably why they expect cut rates. Fed rate cuts to a market decline/crash will drive the 20yr yields down and TLT up. 3. Problem is OP is likely a retard and took too much risk in too short a time frame. The rich like Buffett/Dalio/Trump are loading up on short term bills/notes and gold rather than LT USTs. Also unlikely we get a downturn in May after we got one just earlier this year. Plus """market forces""" will likely want the market to keep going up either to stabilize PE/PC, win the AI race against China, prevent riots/revolution, so that they can unload a few TRILLION via the big 3 IPOs into retail 401K/IRAs via indexing coming later this year (SpaceX/Antropic/OpenAI), or you know Trump/GOP want to win the mid-terms. Who knows? All I know is that OP ain't thought about these things. So we're basically going to be good until at least mid-June. OP will probably lose on their trade. I know because I've been dip buying TMF since 2022-2024 as a hedge to my leveraged ETF positions only gotten get free tax loss harvesting at the end of each year. Thank you OP for your sacrifice.

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Not a terrible play the warsh activation may cause a short run due to what he wants to make happen. My advice is if it jumps mid month on warsh sell half for a good profit and then maybe let the rest ride. I personally have played strangles on tlt every week for the last 7 weeks and only lost money one of those weeks. They have been getting harder though as premiums went up. We are at the low side of this loooong term range so in that respect it seems like an ok play but unless the new chair somehow convinces the others to vote for cuts i do see new lows happening

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Your buying the wrong one. Buy WULF

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you know life is just one big gamble? no shame in gambling in a more direct way.

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