It’s definitely new but I’m not at all surprised.

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Opposite. We're saved thanks to OP. 1. Undefeated rules to making money: 1x Inverse WSB OP. **2x WSB OP on frontpage.** 3x WSB OP on frontpage at the top. 2. OP is on frontpage and bought *CALLS on TLT* w/ exp in mid-June. Which means they expect something bad to happen in the equities market, maybe sell in may go away, or the markets testing new fed chair Warsh. That's probably why they expect cut rates. Fed rate cuts to a market decline/crash will drive the 20yr yields down and TLT up. 3. Problem is OP is likely a retard and took too much risk in too short a time frame. The rich like Buffett/Dalio/Trump are loading up on short term bills/notes and gold rather than LT USTs. Also unlikely we get a downturn in May after we got one just earlier this year. Plus """market forces""" will likely want the market to keep going up either to stabilize PE/PC, win the AI race against China, prevent riots/revolution, so that they can unload a few TRILLION via the big 3 IPOs into retail 401K/IRAs via indexing coming later this year (SpaceX/Antropic/OpenAI), or you know Trump/GOP want to win the mid-terms. Who knows? All I know is that OP ain't thought about these things. So we're basically going to be good until at least mid-June. OP will probably lose on their trade. I know because I've been dip buying TMF since 2022-2024 as a hedge to my leveraged ETF positions only gotten get free tax loss harvesting at the end of each year. Thank you OP for your sacrifice.

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Not a terrible play the warsh activation may cause a short run due to what he wants to make happen. My advice is if it jumps mid month on warsh sell half for a good profit and then maybe let the rest ride. I personally have played strangles on tlt every week for the last 7 weeks and only lost money one of those weeks. They have been getting harder though as premiums went up. We are at the low side of this loooong term range so in that respect it seems like an ok play but unless the new chair somehow convinces the others to vote for cuts i do see new lows happening

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Dealer Positioning: 6) NOPE (Net Options Pricing Effect) on Friday was 22x the 30-day median and accelerated through the day instead of fading. 7) Cumulative net delta: +15.37M shares-equivalent means dealers must hold ~$147M of long stock to be neutral. Firday directionalized. Gamma Exposure of: -$3.99M and today's flow created NEW short-gamma exposure for dealers 8) Monday 5/4 Gamma Cliff - 5/1 held 53% of gamma exposure. Monday morning starts with chain gamma at ~$2.9M vs Friday's ~$6.2M which dealer hedging requirements halved overnight, allowing the same news to move price more dramatically. 9) Smart money rolling from 5/15 to 6/18 straddle (likely for potential IV post earnings) 10) Max-Pain Asymmetry: 6/18 at $10 - institutional positioning Volatility: 11) On 5/15 expiry at the 0.15 delta point, put IV minus call IV reads -0.27, meaning far-OTM calls are priced at 27 vol points over equivalent distance puts. SOUN's tail call-skew reversal is the structural footprint of persistent retail call demand. 12) Volatility of Vol (VOV) - 97th percentile of its 1-year range 13) Front-month IV (5/8, 7 DTE): ~170%. 240-day IV (~01/2027): ~90%. The ~80 vol-point spread is the steepest backwardation observable in the visible window. 14) SOUN exhibits IV smile, both tails are bid up to roughly equal IVs (~2.0 at 4P, ~1.8 at 16C, ATM ~1.25). Confirms retail call demand has been so persistent that OTM call IV has matched the natural put-protection bid. Position: 5/15 Call Options going into earnings (Watching to sell before earnings based on price movement) 6/18 Call Options (Watching to buy after earnings from IV crush based on price movement)

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He's been saying this since at least 2021 and here Alex are SPY hitting new ath every single fking day :clown:

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Giving the term leveraged to the tits a whole new meaning

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Im running out of new things to read

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Can feed a village and open a new baskin robbins

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I would probably buy a bigger trailer, some cookies and a new 2001 Toyota Camry, the rest is for blackjack

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Blaming a baby, OP, this is a new low?

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