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Manhattan Bridge

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you know prices going to go higher now to pay for the more expensive loan, i dont get how this helps
You would think that domestics would have taken some learnings from markets mentioned like BR and brought some compelling offers to the US but nooooo. Best they can do is an unwanted feature laden land yacht gas hog with dealer markup and a 100 month loan term that will self-destruct the moment it's out of warranty. I honestly blame American's financial literacy for this issue as much as anything else. Buying a car or truck post pandemic pretty much across any segment has become an exercise in financial self-flagellation. Yet morons keep coming back for more punishment rolling over loans because "new thing good". Drive a 2010- 2020 paid off Toyota or Honda, keep up on maintenance, never look back. Invest the difference. Hooray, you can retire someday.
Taking a loan to buy gas and sell it door to door IASIP style
Actual US cash currency in circulation, held by individuals/businesses/banks: $2.4 trillion US currency created via fractional reserve banking (bank can lend $10 for every $1 held, creating $9 from thin air): $20.7 trillion Notional US currency value created by stock derivatives: $296 trillion So yeah, take that loan out, none of this shits real anymore
Why stop at $1 if you can literally bet your house, get a $100k loan and bet it also, and also get addicted to cocaine
The issue with the term loan is the MOIC, so while they will sweep an incremental 15+m from higher oil, paying too fast too quickly means they will have to pony up more money to fully repay. The lawsuits, Sable has been protected by the DPA, if it is revoked, would endanger the operations, and to bypass using the buoy will require investment that could push to the next administration. A lot will be dependent on how the lawsuits proceeds, and whether there will ultimately be a settlement.
You’re gonna lose your money. Cut out the leverage. Take out a loan if you need the money in 4 months
If they don’t go crazy in Venezuela and get fucked there, I believe it’s a good play. Especially getting in now. I got in and made some money from the moves before when the stock was at 15-30$. If they can increase their volume without any issues and pay the loan back quickly they can move up fast, I think. They are high risk though. If anything goes wrong I think that will be it. Their CEO seems to be a degenerate gambler himself and is in bed with this administration. IMO they should stay away from any investments in oil fields in Venezuela, financially and from a geopolitical risk standpoint. It seems they are trying to get in there, though. So he seems to be a go big or go home type of guy. They were extremely close to being sent home and because of it (huge loan) they aren’t going that big right now. Not financial advice.
In case this post gets deleted (most posts here do get deleted) here it is in the comment section to continue the discussion: Is Sable Corp (SOC) a good play? u/visalan Hi guys this is my first post here. Please forgive me for my formatting. Sable corp is an oil producer in the Santa Ynez unit in California. They have 2 platforms online currently producing 40k BPD. They had been fighting about the Santa ynez pipeline system for a long time but the Defense Production Act allowed them to restart oil transportation through the pipe line. Recently their stock has been beaten down a lot. Just a few months back, this stock was trading at 13$ now it’s trading at 4. This was mainly due to them refinancing their loan where they had to: \- Raise 115M by issuing shares at $3.08 per share \- 345M of 6.5% notes convertible due 2031 \- 675M at 15% interest rate And secondly, they posted a -eps Q2 which caused it to fall further. I feel like the stock is beaten down enough and currently, the bullish reasons outweigh the bearish sentiment. bullish: The 3rd platform is coming online: previously, they were producing 40K BPD and now they can do closer to 60K BPD. Moreover, the oil produced in the first 2 platforms were sour and the refineries were unwilling to take them. However the crude from the 3rd platform is sweeter and by mixing the 2, refineries are more willing to take their crude. Sable corp says that California refineries are willing to take more Californian OCS crude which is what Sable corp produces. Secondly, since they took the loan they had to hedge their oil. For the 2H of 2026, they have the crude hedged from $65 floor to $89.39 ceiling for 28k BPD hedged however they are producing 40K now and soon to be producing 60K taking. ( up until now o thought they could sell their oil at 100+ a barrel but I see that the California Crude Oil First Purchase Price is at 77$.) With the increase in production, I think they will be able to pay down their debts. My main thesis is that SOC is heavily shorted at like 30% and if they can post a profitable Q3, the price of the stock could seriously rerate and there might be a potential short squeeze. I can’t find much people talking about this online and I would love to hear your thoughts esp if I’m overlooking something and I’m going to lose my money
NVDA at a 27 PE like some regional bank that still faxes loan docs, while Jensen is out here printing hundreds of billions and casually talking 70% growth like it’s a rounding error. Orange Hitler rang him live onstage and they both flushed Gaythropic’s “please slow AI so we can keep the club exclusive” speech down the toilet. Nvidia buys Hugging Face for $13B and suddenly the closed labs invent safety. Now Jensen’s walking into the Trump-Xi dinner about to get export controls sloppy style. Street still acting like this is priced in. It isn’t. Get in while you still can boys. This is going to rip.
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