Currently typing out a post, but at a 30 PE MSFT should be trading between 525-550 throughout the rest of the year
... I'm just going to include this here, since I can't post as I don't have a position in MSFT
**Price Targets**
| q | diluted eps | ttm x 25 pe | ttm x 30 PE |
| :-: | :-: | :-: | :-: | :-: |
| q1 '26 | 4.27 | 393.63 | **472.36** |
| q2 '26 | **4.37** | 437.63 | **525.15** |
| q3 '26 | **4.56** | 458.71 | **550.46** |
| q4 '26 | **4.75** | 448.64 | **538.36** |
Well it’s a refinery also the bot says this but I don’t know if it’s considering context
MPC (Marathon Petroleum) Earnings Summary
Stock vs. normal
∙ Current: ~$238
∙ 52-week range: $133–$255.77 — sitting at ~90% of range, ~7% off ATH
∙ +60% over past year
∙ Analyst avg PT: $249 (~5% upside) — recent raises (Morgan Stanley to $233 from $200)
∙ Dividend: $1.00 quarterly declared April 29 (~1.7% yield)
Last earnings (Q4 2025, Feb 3, 2026)
∙ Adj EPS: $4.07 vs $2.72-2.73 est — massive beat (+49.63%)
∙ vs. $0.77 prior-year quarter
∙ Adj EBITDA: ~$3.5B (Q4), ~$12B FY2025 — Q4 +$1.4B YoY
∙ FY2025 cash from ops: $8.3B; $4.5B returned to shareholders
∙ Driven by stronger refining margins + 4.9% YoY decline in costs
2026 guide (issued at Feb print)
∙ $700M refining capex (-20% from 2025)
∙ Continued capital discipline
∙ Reduced spend with high utilization
Q1 2026 setup (May 5 BMO)
∙ EPS estimate: $2.00 (different sources show $0.92 to $2.00 — wide spread suggests big uncertainty)
∙ Revenue estimate: $33.88B
∙ Crack spread tailwind: oil up ~70% since Feb 28 (US-Iran), refiners benefit from elevated margins
∙ Backdrop: WTI volatility, summer driving season setup
I got early assigned 500 shares from a credit spread at $641. Which was down to $617 for a $12000 loss. But my long put was up $18000 so I actually made $6000 on a $665/$685 spread that dropped to $615. Not sure how this even worked. I also accidentally bought DOCN and PLNTR spreads with a 5/1 expiration on 5/1 instead of exp after earnings, and they both made money. I do find it strange that the only mag7 company with an EPS miss was Google and they were the only company who’s shares went up post earnings. Makes zero sense.
- we apparently were never at war
- *cycling* an aircraft carrier, replacing the Ford with Bush
- EPS getting floated by the highest buyback rates in history