Why aren't they mining it if prices are shooting up?

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Why RS3? Oldschool Runescape is the more popular game with close to 200k active players (although a lot of those are bots)  Also, the bond prices fluctuate heavily based on other factors as well. Whether or not Jagex is banning bots for example. It also fluctuates based on time of day or day of the week.

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Home equity credit cards are really going to be something aren’t they?

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Hey I have a data science background. This is good and entertaining fluff, but if you know what you're looking at, there are important things missing and some things that look good but don't make sense. I give him 4.8/5 for making it look important. For example: He has two time series (S&P500 and the bonds) and he compares them to many possible offsets. This is called cross-correlation analysis. It's a real thing, but it's also notorious for overfitting the data and showing spurious relationships if you misuse it like OP dies here. When you test many different offsets, you increase the probability of finding a high correlation *somewhere*, purely out of random chance. This is kind of like flipping a coin and getting heads 10 times in a row; it's impressive if you only flipped the coin 10 times, but much less exciting if you flipped it 10 million times. You were bound to get a 10-head steak at some point. An overfit predictor is one that performs very well on the historical data used to find it, but poorly on new, unseen data. If you select the single best lag based purely on the highest R-value from your historical test (precisely what OP did here), you risk overfitting to random noise that exists in the sample, but isn't truly predictive. And that's almost surely been done here and the validation should have been on showing that the model isn't overfit. To validate a model like that you wouldn't back-test (what OP does). Some things you could do are split the data into in and out of sample (e.g. make the model based on only the first X days in the series, and then judge it based on its ability to predict the data after day X). You should/could take steps to remove seasonality or trends within the time series first (which we already damn well know the stock market is seasonal, so him using untransformed values is most definitely increasing his calculated correlation). It would also be good to do bootstrapping to check statistical significance, instead of just p value. But it is very entertaining. OP probably also has a data background, to be knowing what to do to specifically torture the data this way.

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> Besides, wtf do a bunch of children know about market sentiment? It ain't stock brokers and investors playing RuneScape. It's like seeing patterns in clouds and concluding they were formed with intent. A bunch of nonsense. It's not an impossible correlation - one could argue that maybe when consumers have more disposable money they are willing to drop more money on online games. It's just you'd likely find better correlations.

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If you need me to trim your armor my rates are the lowest in town.

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If we are wrong we are FUCKED LMAO

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I expected that and expect that, on both counts. Per usual, want to get rich on a particular stock?  Especially obscure, thinly held stocks (not that UUUU is, but how many people are searching about this stock on Saturday night?) So, want to get rich on a particular stock?  Get to it before the news hits.  Yeah, I’m talking about *insider* knowledge.  Be that through a political connection or the guy in the office who works on the printers.

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Unlike PCT, Aduro owns the IP and doesn't need to pay royalties, can deal with contaminated plastics, can process many different plastics instead of one, and its efficiency is 80-95% rather than 60-70%. It has just graduated from the Shell Gamechanger program with the tech verified. It just happens to be not well advertised to the broad market yet, and people are wondering if it will work at bigger scales. Insider behaviour is clear that it will.

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I was in a similar situation with TSLA a few years back. The point I eventually decided to sell at was when I could sell 2/3 and stop working, and keep 1/3 in play. And by the way, there are ways to hold SpaceX more directly if you're an accredited investor.

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